DAX 40 technical analysis

David Austin 

Senior FX strategist, Citizen Prime FX 

 

From its mid-March double top at 23,746, the DAX 40 fell 4987 points to a low of 18,489 in early April, before its impressive rebound.

 

The magnitude of the rebound raises some questions about the short-term bearish wave count. One of the three key rules of Elliott Wave is that Wave IV should not overlap with the price territory of Wave I. In practice, we allow some limited flex with this rule, but the rally from the 18,489 low is currently testing those boundaries.

 

From here, we would prefer to see some immediate weakness to confirm the Wave IV rally is complete and that Wave V lower is underway. Aware that if the DAX 40 sees a sustained break above resistance at 22,500 – 22,700, it will indicate that the correction is complete, and that the uptrend has likely resumed.

Chart by Trading View 

 

 

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